Tomorrow or Thursday the Lebanese president President and Prime Minister might put the state against Hezbullah in the most direct and confrontational way in decades.

 Tomorrow or Thursday the Lebanese president President and Prime Minister might put the state against Hezbullah in the most direct and confrontational way in decades.

Lots of talks and lots of back channel negations, with immense forgein pressure on the Lebanese state to act.

Aoun and Nawaf might want to disarm Hezbullah and they definitely share this goal with Israel and the U.S, however Israel and its patron didn’t give this government a single shred of legitimacy or guarantees in regards to the end of attacks, occupation, prisoners so on.

They didn’t give this government a single accomplishment to drive the narrative, especially after Hezbullah fully and for the first time ever at this scale, fully disarmed south of the Litani river.

There is one certainty, Hezbullah will not disarm.

There is also on certainty, Israel wants to occupy these parts of Lebanon forever and wants to force Lebanon into normalization that starts with disarming Hezbullah and ends with outlawing Hezbullah