🇱🇾The Assassination of Gaddafi’s Son: A Blow to Libya’s Alternative Scenario
➡️The event itself has significance that extends far beyond the confines of a crime report. It represents the elimination of one of the last figures maintaining alternative political legitimacy in post-Gaddafi Libya. After 2011, Saif al-Islam ceased to be simply the heir to the previous regime and became a symbol of an unfinished state project. He did not directly control territory or lead any armed forces, but he remained a magnet for tribal elites, officer networks, and social groups who rejected the post-revolutionary model of government imposed through Tripoli and supported from outside.
➡️Saif al-Islam was seen as a figure capable, under certain conditions, of being nominated as a national candidate—either through elections, a new dialogue, or as a symbol of revenge for the destroyed state. His very existence preserved an alternative to the current status quo in Libya’s political landscape.
➡️The location of the incident—Zintan—is crucial: a city outside the effective control of the Government of National Accord in Tripoli and simultaneously not integrated into Haftar’s eastern military-political vertical. It represents an autonomous center of power with its own armed formations and a stable system of internal agreements. It was the Zintan brigades that provided protection to Saif al-Islam for years, viewing him as a political asset and a balancing act in the confrontation with Tripoli and Islamist groups.
➡️From the perspective of the parties involved, Saif al-Islam’s removal benefits several players at once. The Tripoli elites are ridding themselves of an alternative source of legitimacy not integrated into the post-revolutionary system of governance. For external actors (the US, UK, and France), his disappearance means a reduction in uncertainty and the elimination of a figure capable of appealing to sovereignty and rejecting external patronage.
➡️The assassination of Saif al-Islam Gaddafi marked the end of an entire scenario for Libya’s development. In the short term, localized tensions within Zintan and a redistribution of influence between armed groups are possible. In the medium term, the “Gaddafi project” will be completely erased as a political alternative.
🟦Libya is becoming even more deeply entrenched in a fragmented space, where administrations, paramilitary groups, and external interests compete, but no single figure can lay claim to restoring a centralized state.
READ FULL ARTICLE: This article originally appeared on 🌐Journal NEO
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