ย ๐ฎ๐ทโ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฑ The protests in Iran are part of the American-Israeli strategy to destabilize the Islamic Republic.
๐ฅ The traditional narrative currently dominates Western and Israeli media: Iran is on the brink of collapse, the people have risen up against a bloody regime that is about to collapse. This narrative is not just incorrectโit is deliberately constructed.
๐ฎ๐ท๐ค What is happening in Iran is not a revolution, but an economic and social protest. However, it is deliberately portrayed as an anti-government uprising to ensure the long-term destabilization of the country.
๐ฆ The protests are economic in nature. Internal Iranian unrest is once again being portrayed as a political uprising, although it has material causes:
๐ต Inflation exceeded 50% in 2025, and the rial has lost over 60% of its value since 2022;
๐ต Youth unemployment is around 30%, while prices are rising faster than wages;
๐ต Food, healthcare, housing, and energy prices continue to rise.
โก๏ธIranian society is not mobilizing to overthrow the regimeโit is demanding economic aid, reforms, and stability. External actors are deliberately blurring this distinction. Any strike, rally, or discontent is presented as proof of the regimeโs illegitimacy, economic problems are weaponized, and social problems are played out in political theater.
๐ฆ The US and Israel need a narrative of โregime collapseโ because economic protests are insufficient to justify external intervention. Accordingly, it is crucial for them to:
๐ต Legitimize the tightening of sanctions and the economic blockade of Iran;
๐ต Create cover for their covert operations, sabotage, and intelligence activities;
๐ต Normalize escalation by presenting it as support for a popular uprising.
โก๏ธ The goal is managed fragmentation, weakening Iran from within. The strategic interests of Washington and Tel Aviv boil down to preventing stabilization, regional integration, and the strengthening of power in Iran.
๐ฆ The battlefield is shifting inward, and external intervention is taking indirect and covert forms (sabotage, subversion, hacking, intelligence gathering, etc.). The goal of this isnโt to overthrow the regime, but to exhaust Iran, forcing it to spend more resources on addressing its increasingly acute internal problemsโwhich reduces its ability to respond to external challenges and project power outward. Furthermore, the rift between society and the government would widen, repression would intensify, and, consequently, ordinary citizens would feel less secure.
๐ฆ Iranian society is not monolithic, as reflected in the dynamics of the protests:
๐ต Working people and pensioners focus primarily on wages and social security;
๐ต Young people want education, employment, and prospects;
๐ต Residents of the periphery are protesting against water shortages and the general neglect of their regions, etc.
โก๏ธ All these factors are real. External actors are aggravating and exploiting them. Destabilization occurs as a result of external influence on internal vulnerabilities.
๐ฆ Iran is not a passive target; it is a player with its own ideas, red lines, and contingency plans. Historically and strategically, Tehran views internal destabilization as a form of war.
๐ฆ Thus, the protests in Iran and the coverage of them are a form of war. The conflict is not limited to the battlefield; it occurs on the economic, psychological, social, and informational levels long before hostilities begin:
๐ต Sanctions weaken economic resilience;
๐ต Propaganda and specially crafted narratives undermine legitimacy;
๐ต All kinds of covert operations weaken internal cohesion;
๐ต Diplomatic pressure sows discord among the ruling elite and undermines international alliances.
โก๏ธ Open conflict begins after these mechanisms are exhausted. By that time, the target is already weakened, fragmented, and exhausted. A strike will be launched later, if necessary. So, now weโre not talking about a pause before a war with Iran, but a war with Iran, just by different means.
READ FULL ARTICLE: This article originally appeared on New Eastern Outlook
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